Monday, October 24, 2005

You Decide 2005!

I hated that tagline last year, but what can I say? I'm almost nostaglic for it now.

Jim "Barnacle Boy" Geraghty did a brief roundup late last week of the noteworthy races in this off-off year, and things look a lot better for the GOP than they have any right to.

RINO Michael Bloomberg will win a second New York City mayoral term in a blowout. Which, to me, is neither here nor there, but I suppose it does say something that the nation's largest, and arguably most liberal, city will have a Republican mayor for at least a decade and a half straight.

Senator Jon Korzine will probably stagger across the New Jersey gubernatorial finish line barely ahead of a charging Doug Forrester. Interestingly, JGer suggests that that could very likely lead to the GOP picking up Korzine's senate seat, since the presumptive Republican frontrunner, Tom Keane, Jr., is polling ahead of both likely Democrat candidates, Congressmen Robert Menendez and Rob Andrews. On the other hand, another near Forrester miss could convince him to jump into the Senate race, sabotaging Keane and creating a complete Garden State GOP disaster. In fact, I would almost count on it.

Last week the RealClearPolitics guys were saying “the trend looks to be favoring the Democrat Tim Kaine,” but today they show Jerry Kilgore pulling ahead again.

Annnnnd, out in Gollyfornia, all five of the Governator's ballot initiatives are leading, with only lengthening the waiting period for teacher’s tenure ahead by less than double-digits.

The moral of the story? In off-off years, politics tends to be more local; and in that context, the GOP is showing a heartening degree of intrinsic strength.

And brother, are they going to need every last bit of it in the years ahead.

UPDATE: The tea leaves aren't as good in Michigan....