Saturday, October 21, 2006

A Trend, Maybe?

I heard this on Rush's show yesterday and he has the transcript over at his web site. The highlights:

Then there's this from the New York 26th Congressional District. This is the district that houses the evil Tom Reynolds of Mark Foley fame, and this is a survey that SurveyUSA has done for WGRZ-TV in Buffalo, and this is just the way they word it. "In an election in New York's uniquely volatile 26th Congressional District today," October 19th, yesterday, is when this came out, "Republican incumbent Tom Reynolds comes back off the mat to now recapture a tiny lead against Democrat challenger Jack Davis, 49-46." He has a little momentum -- and then in Indiana: "Indiana Democratic Representative Julia Carson was in a close race three weeks before Election Day with an under-funded Republican challenger who has raised questions about her years of health problems, according to a new poll.

"Carson, seeking her sixth term in the Seventh District, includes most of Indianapolis, was the pick of 42% of those surveyed. Republican Eric Dickerson had the support of 45% in the poll released Thursday." You've got a Republican challenger leading a six-term Democrat incumbent. My guess is there are races like this out there being totally ignored by the Drive-By Media because they don't fit the action line. Colorado fifth district: "In an election in Colorado's fifth congressional district today [again, dated yesterday] Republican Doug Lamborn defeats Democrat Jay Fawcett 51-38% according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV in Denver." This is a race that was trending Democrat, one of the pickups the Democrats were counting on, and it's reversed itself, and there are other signs of such things happening out there as well, ladies and gentlemen.

One more poll result, ladies and gentlemen. This is from Rasmussen via Real Clear Politics: "Montana Senate race, Conrad Burns (who is, by the way, "toast." To help you put this in perspective, Conrad Burns is toast. It's over. Fini. That's it.) has now moved within three points of John Tester, the Democrat in Montana. I don't know. I'm looking at all this, and I'm smelling movement of some kind, and I'm drawn also, ladies and gentlemen, to our astute phone call from yesterday, said these pollsters need credibility at the end of the day, and he fully expects all these polls to tighten up in the next two weeks or so as we get close to the election.

Hey, you never know. I'm not ready to concede yet. I'm hoping that the specter of a Speaker Pelosi scares enough conservatives that they'll get out and vote Republican if for no other reason than to prevent THAT.